UFC · resolved market
Su Young You vs. AJ Cunningham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf059f68d2e0512d0d2b9206007679a082df32b411f0183dbc0a0b8b6d2bd58a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youof You, Cunningham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Cunningham | 2c | 20,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…5363backed Cunningham | 18c | 12,227$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…cb01backed Cunningham | 15c | 3,472$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Cunningham | 17c | 2,571$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.29 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Cunningham | 16c | 2,416$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.66 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Cunningham | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cunningham | 16c | 1,884$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Cunningham | 19c | 1,038$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cunningham | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Cunningham | 19c | 961.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Cunningham | 19c | 736.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cunningham | 16c | 516.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Cunningham | 20c | 506.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Cunningham | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Cunningham | 17c | 307.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked You | 80c | 303$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cunningham | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…261abacked Cunningham | 20c | 273.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…0939backed Cunningham | 19c | 257$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Cunningham | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Cunningham | 16c | 144$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc7…5eb9backed Cunningham | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Cunningham | 19c | 103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cunningham | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Cunningham | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Cunningham | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Cunningham | 19c | 79.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…d11cbacked Cunningham | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Cunningham | 16c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Cunningham | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed You | 80c | 33.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Su Young You vs. AJ Cunninghamthis page
- Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt HolobaughHernandez won
- Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosNjokuani won
- Choi vs. Kevin VallejosVallejos won
- Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Cody GibsonBlackshear won
- Marvin Vettori vs. Roman DolidzeDolidze won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.