Fifa International · resolved market
UEFA Nations League Final: Will Ronaldo score 1+ goals against Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf25186031375d775960fbbf760222be9f6f45a1bfc28ee2fb0cf2ad1d2b99e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed No | 0c | 5,280$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…55c4backed No | 69c | 1,607$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…e43fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,353$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 34c | 1,297$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 64c | 1,250$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.54 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 39c | 1,030$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.93 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…a804backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…871bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…55bfbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Yes | 33c | 974.95$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 68c | 665.28$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.43 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…07d9backed No | 67c | 495$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 35c | 350.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Yes | 37c | 335.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…f4f1backed No | 67c | 310$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 36c | 306.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 34c | 301.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…20d8backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…dd75backed Yes | 38c | 221.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 65c | 160.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked No | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed No | 69c | 145.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 68c | 144.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 67c | 136.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 71c | 119.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…453cbacked Yes | 45c | 115.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80d…e7fbbacked No | 67c | 110$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0c71backed No | 68c | 103.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 34c | 103.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked No | 62c | 87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…bd38backed No | 67c | 85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…a73abacked No | 67c | 85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…75c6backed Yes | 25c | 78.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +294.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…41c5backed Yes | 38c | 76.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 34c | 73.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 65c | 68.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9ed9backed Yes | 27c | 60.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +272.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 68c | 50.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes | 42c | 47.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 58c | 45.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…1adbbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…e258backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 47c | 37.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 78c | 32.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Yes | 35c | 31.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…3ccbbacked Yes | 36c | 31.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5627…577bbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked No | 65c | 29.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…1a33backed No | 72c | 27.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…6412backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 58c | 22.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…9e65backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cba…e68dbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.