UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-Acosta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaee65ddd249924bfc73e0021ff7558e7153ae7c23989be049fb7fb932df61f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavlovichof Pavlovich, Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pavlovich | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Acosta | 32c | 15,508$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.64 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Acosta | 30c | 11,567$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.79 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Acosta | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Acosta | 29c | 8,820$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Pavlovich | 69c | 7,526$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pavlovich | 69c | 7,056$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Acosta | 29c | 6,500$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.98 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Pavlovich | 69c | 5,071$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.27 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Acosta | 30c | 4,894$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.46 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Acosta | 33c | 4,475$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.37 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Pavlovich | 69c | 4,346$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Acosta | 30c | 4,345$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.45 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Pavlovich | 70c | 3,424$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.35 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Acosta | 31c | 3,339$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.23 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Acosta | 29c | 3,050$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pavlovich | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pavlovich | 71c | 2,882$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.49 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pavlovich | 70c | 2,867$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.96 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Acosta | 29c | 2,503$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.78 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Pavlovich | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked Acosta | 32c | 2,313$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pavlovich | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.88 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Pavlovich | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Pavlovich | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Acosta | 31c | 1,996$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.94 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Acosta | 31c | 1,910$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Pavlovich | 69c | 1,850$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Acosta | 27c | 1,729$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.64 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Pavlovich | 71c | 1,603$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Pavlovich | 70c | 1,430$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Pavlovich | 71c | 1,410$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Acosta | 24c | 1,391$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.81 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Acosta | 30c | 1,268$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.37 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Pavlovich | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Pavlovich | 67c | 1,149$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.23 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Acosta | 31c | 1,075$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.24 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pavlovich | 69c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Pavlovich | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Acosta | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pavlovich | 68c | 999.95$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.98 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Acosta | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…0119backed Pavlovich | 70c | 906.83$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pavlovich | 68c | 894.1$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +61%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2766…4c94backed Acosta | 9c | 832.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Acosta | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Acosta | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Pavlovich | 68c | 799.98$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Acosta | 30c | 799.96$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Pavlovich | 69c | 729.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Acosta | 29c | 693.48$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pavlovich | 68c | 608.49$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.72 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Pavlovich | 69c | 500$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…c0b9backed Acosta | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Pavlovich | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Acosta | 29c | 480$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Pavlovich | 67c | 476$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Pavlovich | 71c | 427.88$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Acosta | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Pavlovich | 70c | 395.04$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Acosta | 29c | 374.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Acosta | 30c | 366.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Acosta | 32c | 366.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Acosta | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…a252backed Acosta | 31c | 321.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…565abacked Acosta | 32c | 314.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Acosta | 24c | 305.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Pavlovich | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pavlovich | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Pavlovich | 70c | 283.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Pavlovich | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…4ad6backed Pavlovich | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pavlovich | 69c | 280$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Acosta | 32c | 260$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Acosta | 30c | 248.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…a89fbacked Pavlovich | 72c | 227.11$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Pavlovich | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Acosta | 29c | 201$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Acosta | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Acosta | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Pavlovich | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…cd5ebacked Pavlovich | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Acosta | 30c | 166.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…91d8backed Pavlovich | 75c | 163$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…69fabacked Pavlovich | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Pavlovich | 69c | 155.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Acosta | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Pavlovich | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…588dbacked Pavlovich | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Acosta | 30c | 149$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…9d46backed Pavlovich | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…92c9backed Pavlovich | 70c | 144.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Pavlovich | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Pavlovich | 70c | 141.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Pavlovich | 70c | 141.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…e28cbacked Pavlovich | 71c | 140.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…ecc9backed Pavlovich | 70c | 139.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…32a7backed Pavlovich | 71c | 137.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c1…8d10backed Pavlovich | 67c | 134.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Pavlovich | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-Acostathis page
- UFC Fight Night: Kavanagh vs. JohnsonJohnson won
- UFC Fight Night: Long vs. YouYou won
- UFC Fight Night: Maheshate vs. YoungYoung won
- UFC Fight Night: Nueraji vs. CrosbieNueraji won
- UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. SterlingSterling won
- UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. DaukausDaukaus won
- UFC Fight Night: Rongzhu vs. HubbardRongzhu won
- UFC Fight Night: Satybaldiev vs. NurgozhaySatybaldiev won
- UFC Fight Night: Sumudaerji vs. BorjasSumudaerji won
- UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. ZhangWalker won
- UFC Fight Night: Yizha vs. WilsonYizha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.