Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8b052ae8a19bffa5a941f666c8f5316f366279566414e0111be3f3deb5524ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd36…aac2backed Yes | 18c | 2,102$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 4c | 1,308$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 16c | 1,127$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 14c | 900$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…30edbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 14c | 591.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.93 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 568.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 53c | 506$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…850abacked Yes | 15c | 496.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…699fbacked Yes | 16c | 464.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 14c | 449.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 77c | 428.22$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 400$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 14c | 393.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.03 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 34c | 357.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 78c | 333$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 22c | 333$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 16c | 317.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 11c | 311.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 48c | 199.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15d…9507backed No | 26c | 189.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 23c | 182.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…2a77backed Yes | 15c | 179.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…ec99backed Yes | 40c | 155$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 59c | 132.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…cb41backed Yes | 13c | 113.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 53c | 103.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…b37fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0c71backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 75c | 95.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 31c | 92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…2358backed Yes | 11c | 87.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…d4a6backed Yes | 14c | 71.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…512fbacked Yes | 15c | 68.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +243.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…67acbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3401…c439backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…39b1backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…f79ebacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…0a92backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 77c | 34.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked Yes | 70c | 22.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…1acdbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?this page
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.