Serie A · resolved market
Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67b695d74cb7c82ec7c1e5123194bc584faa8fe0b5f2dbc9f27f10f0739038be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 55c | 3,248$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 38c | 2,824$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +255.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 43c | 905.92$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.64 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 71c | 898.85$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed Yes | 38c | 889.26$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0c71backed Yes | 43c | 828.09$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Yes | 36c | 568.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaea…673cbacked Yes | 66c | 258.32$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 60c | 238.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…d60cbacked No | 26c | 236.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 41c | 199.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 43c | 184.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 183.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 64c | 168.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 145.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 35c | 144.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +229.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 51c | 128.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 42c | 113$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 68c | 111$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 48c | 95.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 69c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…b9d4backed Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 57c | 74.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 62c | 54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 40c | 48.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 60c | 45.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…9244backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 56c | 28.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…caa2backed No | 71c | 27.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…1df1backed No | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…7e36backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?this page
- Will Avellino achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Frosinone achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Juve Stabia achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Mantova achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Modena achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Venezia achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.