Serie A · resolved market
Will Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8a26743c0b6508035e3b258d0c69852783641525ca4f26c15efa169a00cde90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 12c | 649.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…d1a8backed Yes | 9c | 412.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked No | 67c | 362.27$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 29c | 349$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 34c | 274.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…51b0backed Yes | 34c | 261.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…62f8backed Yes | 7c | 214.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 209.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed Yes | 36c | 168$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 145.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…76e9backed Yes | 36c | 69.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 31c | 66.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 25c | 56.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?this page
- Will Avellino achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Frosinone achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Juve Stabia achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Mantova achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Modena achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Venezia achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.