Serie A · resolved market
Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedeec4ea179348cfe543be7967943c2df660b16bbeb56ca80dbe838e6ba9066b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed No | 33c | 1,180$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 72c | 544.17$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Yes | 23c | 346.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 28c | 345.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +255.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Yes | 23c | 331.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 34c | 233.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 56c | 152.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 76c | 140$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 17c | 139.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 65c | 118.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…910fbacked Yes | 33c | 111.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 78c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed No | 76c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 36c | 78.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…62f8backed Yes | 34c | 78.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…f3c9backed Yes | 34c | 55.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f76ebacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…83d0backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 44.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…0a70backed Yes | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed No | 58c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…9244backed Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed Yes | 56c | 25.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 65c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?this page
- Will Avellino achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Frosinone achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Juve Stabia achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Mantova achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Modena achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Venezia achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.