Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Benjamin Bonzi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20b34a0a55063d00755edd9ceb607a25d2dbbcd72472e5063cfb88d9ae1b2f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Lehecka, Bonzi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Lehecka | 67c | 15,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.24 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bonzi | 31c | 10,667$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.48 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bonzi | 26c | 10,104$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.32 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bonzi | 18c | 7,524$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.46 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bonzi | 20c | 5,488$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.91 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Lehecka | 75c | 3,999$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.75 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Bonzi | 8c | 3,677$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Lehecka | 74c | 2,250$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.91 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Bonzi | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Bonzi | 4c | 1,800$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Bonzi | 34c | 1,736$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.39 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Lehecka | 75c | 1,330$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lehecka | 75c | 1,089$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.14 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Lehecka | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bonzi | 35c | 1,000$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Bonzi | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bonzi | 25c | 750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Lehecka | 58c | 694.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bonzi | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bonzi | 25c | 527.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lehecka | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Bonzi | 25c | 467.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lehecka | 78c | 447.75$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lehecka | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Bonzi | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Lehecka | 74c | 393.27$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bonzi | 24c | 388.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Bonzi | 31c | 380.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Lehecka | 57c | 352.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Bonzi | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bonzi | 24c | 256.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Bonzi | 8c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Lehecka | 75c | 246.67$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Lehecka | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bonzi | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Lehecka | 70c | 162.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Lehecka | 79c | 154.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Lehecka | 69c | 145.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Lehecka | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Lehecka | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 748 | 61.9%463 W · 285 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked Lehecka | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Bonzi | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Bonzi | 16c | 104.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Bonzi | 29c | 80.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bonzi | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Lehecka | 66c | 75.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Bonzi | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Lehecka | 75c | 53.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Bonzi | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Lehecka | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 232 | 71.1%165 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Lehecka | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0c71backed Lehecka | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Lehecka | 54c | 44.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Lehecka | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Bonzi | 29c | 41.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lehecka | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Bonzi | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8f9abacked Lehecka | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…b2e1backed Lehecka | 72c | 18.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…70aabacked Lehecka | 75c | 17.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c606backed Lehecka | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Lehecka | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.