Tennis · resolved market
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6cf1b830b3f2cac00bcf20546528ab444df978a37f379ef308e5c2bf3dfb00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x029c…be5ebacked Yes | 28c | 33,676$9,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,429.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 26c | 10,766$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.07 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 21c | 10,595$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.22 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 9,941$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.76 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 30c | 8,425$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.86 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 36c | 6,347$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.91 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 22c | 4,751$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 71c | 4,740$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 72c | 4,250$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…c5d0backed No | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yes | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 71c | 3,162$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 70c | 3,153$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 66c | 2,888$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.29 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 68c | 2,781$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.84 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 33c | 2,777$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.41 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…3e82backed No | 74c | 2,720$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 27c | 2,615$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.28 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 18c | 2,562$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.71 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 32c | 2,543$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 32c | 2,519$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,502$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.92 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 67c | 2,220$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.6 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 1,929$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.21 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 68c | 1,775$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.08 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 29c | 1,561$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…2a3abacked Yes | 28c | 1,535$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked No | 66c | 1,516$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 29c | 1,465$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…ee4fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,405$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431b…1d9cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,339$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 1,200$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.65 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…ece3backed Yes | 32c | 1,177$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 77c | 1,155$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 68c | 1,081$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.11 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 79c | 1,009$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,007$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.33 | 318 | 50.3%160 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…c9f4backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 22c | 999.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 68c | 959.25$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.25 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…212bbacked Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 29c | 800$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Yes | 30c | 786.4$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 73c | 754.04$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.27 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0c71backed Yes | 28c | 647.93$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Yes | 34c | 588.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 21c | 584$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 549.61$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…2c04backed Yes | 20c | 532.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +134%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 65c | 505.2$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…2511backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 68c | 496.31$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 21c | 471.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Yes | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 64c | 437$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 67c | 407$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 71c | 399.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 346$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes | 13c | 329.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…3906backed Yes | 23c | 326.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…61a7backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 65c | 297.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Yes | 21c | 295.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 20c | 262.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 17c | 257.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a55dbacked Yes | 28c | 249.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Yes | 31c | 247$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 65c | 240.51$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Yes | 34c | 235.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 22c | 231.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 20c | 208.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…b62ebacked Yes | 36c | 207.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…332bbacked Yes | 32c | 206.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…dd55backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 30c | 199.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 29c | 196$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 32c | 193.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 19c | 184$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…0e26backed Yes | 25c | 177.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 20c | 172.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 171$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed Yes | 31c | 163.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…3111backed Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 20cpaid | +201.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…71bcbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Yes | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…3a31backed No | 70c | 127$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…08a4backed Yes | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alexandra Eala win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?Yes won
- Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Caroline Wozniacki win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Elina Svitolina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Emma Raducanu win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Madison Keys win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Maria Sakkari win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Marketa Vondrousova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.