TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9009…b96d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$27.22
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$115.83
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$35.66
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$26.34
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$8.32
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49%+$29.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,972.7%+$729.88
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$21.75
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$57.31
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$26.73
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.98
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+164.6%+$60.23
Will Lebron announce he's retiring Tuesday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$19.97
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203.2%+$107.7
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mirra Andreeva win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+104.5%+$52.25
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+155.4%+$31.08
All 18 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Anadolu Efes vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Saski Baskonia vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Partizan vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+101.3%+$31.4
Monaco vs. Panathinaikosbacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Franz Wagner win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Dennis Schroder win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+150.1%+$34.53
Euro Basket: Finland vs Lithuaniabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.