TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$620,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$566,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes44c93,864$41,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,191.6411230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes30c74,401$22,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,461.932714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No51c42,858$21,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,185.831225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes49c34,336$16,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,814.744040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes33c31,009$10,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,232.9745737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No53c29,353$15,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,790.3516242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No72c29,320$21,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,209.7214345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No57c28,581$16,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,222.833441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes45c23,650$10,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,755.932920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c20,207$8,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,717.188650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…63eebacked Yes29c16,838$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,939.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes26c16,271$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.6217244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed0…1496backed Yes0c14,450$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No51c14,400$7,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,037.55253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed No72c12,040$8,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7004548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No68c8,648$5,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.352360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes32c8,451$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…8c70backed Yes64c7,818$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No73c7,226$5,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.062030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No55c6,808$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.138640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes49c6,719$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.233458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No50c5,852$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9262360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No61c4,652$2,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.464459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6149…dacfbacked No51c4,512$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.11250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes45c4,496$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.352020%4 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2402035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes53c3,816$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.466946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Yes50c3,769$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No57c3,470$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No69c3,294$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.119826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes58c3,182$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8970…36b5backed Yes59c3,120$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.57616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes52c3,086$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.7343948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No27c2,922$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.741471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.35per pick37cpaid+178.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes51c2,290$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.710138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3885…35debacked Yes4c2,193$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3470%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes29c2,160$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…4275backed Yes47c2,066$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+66.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858e…6febbacked Yes54c2,028$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12017823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed No42c2,000$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.9966831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No60c1,925$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.5317338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed No70c1,885$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes40c1,871$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.3752750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes32c1,871$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.171540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No75c1,860$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.4628451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes34c1,757$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.495545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed No79c1,712$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c2…d478backed No47c1,702$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.021952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No67c1,668$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.381,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bc…0f85backed Yes26c1,573$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.6650%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49db…3d28backed Yes20c1,510$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-75.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No58c1,422$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.074252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4b…5724backed Yes48c1,386$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No55c1,318$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.15860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e6…8e83backed Yes43c1,311$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No68c1,302$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.751040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked No74c1,297$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8099…2f05backed Yes57c1,200$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6782254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No54c1,127$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.727850%39 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Yes43c1,095$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.274030%12 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes54c1,072$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.1622344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes44c1,000$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+566.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57095140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a1…ec5dbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c6…dba8backed Yes27c981.48$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+418.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No57c890.96$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.144353.5%23 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63a6…f308backed No55c857$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6cc…f848backed No61c839$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes35c807.14$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.741,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No54c799.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2714540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No48c782.94$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.135438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed No73c770$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Yes27c742.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No64c737.2$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.68854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No71c721.26$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.176863.2%43 W · 25 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cdc…7cddbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002951.7%15 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+66.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No52c707.73$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5912737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed No50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ec…b5fcbacked No69c697.11$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca35…ade5backed Yes29c695.22$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No68c693$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.441533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+274.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes35c639.99$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7735932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No72c633.28$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.324030%12 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Yes52c602.31$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x702b…d274backed No54c602.17$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2771435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes58c586.21$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99f…1709backed Yes48c583.33$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No61c564.43$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.583847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes46c520.31$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3242141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No68c518.44$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.142638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked No44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Yes52c479.92$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d30…b2b3backed No55c468.44$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.81040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes54c456.05$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes26c455.88$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.744628.3%13 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.