Tennis · resolved market
Will Belinda Bencic win Wimbledon 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9498b737862ff57843254cb9229d2f2a7e9e836c141c6b5c558b867712f0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 6c | 5,822$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.23 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…75d3backed Yes | 4c | 4,892$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8970…36b5backed Yes | 1c | 3,120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 2,172$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…a532backed Yes | 9c | 2,154$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 4c | 2,083$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…c56ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,958$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,925$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…eae8backed Yes | 6c | 1,819$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…8488backed Yes | 7c | 1,427$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,264$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 6c | 1,264$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 1,085$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,003$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 6c | 833.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…f1a8backed Yes | 9c | 774.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 5c | 699.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 6c | 685.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…3578backed Yes | 3c | 459.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 5c | 364.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 7c | 333.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 6c | 306.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes | 6c | 287.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…b709backed Yes | 8c | 263.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…3e93backed Yes | 10c | 205.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 10c | 122.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belinda Bencic win Wimbledon 2025?this page
- Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Barbora Krejcikova win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Coco Gauff win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Danielle Collins win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Daria Kasatkina win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Elina Svitolina win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Emma Navarro win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Emma Raducanu win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?Yes won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jelena Ostapenko win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Liudmila Samsonova win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Madison Keys win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Marketa Vondrousova win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ons Jabeur win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win Wimbledon 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.