Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59984bdd7e7c538cffbd2b4ce554ff320449746a0fcfd78b9db7fa28ad54573a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Anadolu Efes, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Real Madrid | 69c | 5,975$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.03 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Anadolu Efes | 46c | 4,851$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Anadolu Efes | 33c | 2,508$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anadolu Efes | 33c | 2,182$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.91 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Anadolu Efes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Anadolu Efes | 34c | 1,478$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Real Madrid | 62c | 1,449$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.21 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Real Madrid | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Anadolu Efes | 31c | 1,071$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.36 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Real Madrid | 56c | 1,036$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.95 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Anadolu Efes | 30c | 999.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Real Madrid | 67c | 798.16$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Real Madrid | 67c | 602.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Real Madrid | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Anadolu Efes | 31c | 476.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Real Madrid | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Real Madrid | 70c | 433.95$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Anadolu Efes | 47c | 415.25$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Real Madrid | 61c | 403.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Anadolu Efes | 32c | 374.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7209…b3c1backed Anadolu Efes | 31c | 321.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Real Madrid | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid | 74c | 296$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid | 60c | 290.13$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Anadolu Efes | 36c | 250.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Real Madrid | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Anadolu Efes | 34c | 211$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…397abacked Real Madrid | 67c | 194.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Anadolu Efes | 37c | 182.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Real Madrid | 60c | 153.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Anadolu Efes | 32c | 149.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Anadolu Efes | 14c | 145.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 32c | 137.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Anadolu Efes | 35c | 127.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Anadolu Efes | 33c | 121.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Real Madrid | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Real Madrid | 67c | 110.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Anadolu Efes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Real Madrid | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Anadolu Efes | 37c | 98.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Real Madrid | 64c | 97.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…8ce3backed Anadolu Efes | 33c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…adbabacked Real Madrid | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Real Madrid | 69c | 75.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Real Madrid | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Real Madrid | 61c | 71.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Anadolu Efes | 30c | 66.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Anadolu Efes | 35c | 64.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 67c | 44.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Real Madrid | 68c | 44.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…c06cbacked Real Madrid | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Anadolu Efes | 33c | 34.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 33.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Anadolu Efes | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Real Madrid | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Real Madrid | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Real Madrid | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Real Madrid | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Real Madrid | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…399dbacked Real Madrid | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ba…360dbacked Real Madrid | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Real Madrid | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…b96dbacked Real Madrid | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.