Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x954e75444dc5767ccb76dcca17febfb6bf7aa086856dcdd21914f65bb535676f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Saski Baskonia, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Saski Baskonia | 39c | 458.46$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.56 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Saski Baskonia | 38c | 192.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…89acbacked Anadolu Efes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Saski Baskonia | 40c | 147.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Anadolu Efes | 59c | 134.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Saski Baskonia | 41c | 105.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…de26backed Saski Baskonia | 43c | 103.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Saski Baskonia | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 80.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…0731backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Anadolu Efes | 55c | 60.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…b96dbacked Anadolu Efes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Anadolu Efes | 57c | 42.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 42.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Saski Baskonia | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa6…4b74backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 26.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…f168backed Anadolu Efes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…f98ebacked Anadolu Efes | 60c | 25.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Saski Baskonia | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19d…b42bbacked Anadolu Efes | 62c | 24.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.