Euroleague · resolved market
Monaco vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf0cc1f610fd3a894e15c54243058cdfc42e1c547edadc55f17c9a696a8064d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof Monaco, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Panathinaikos | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Monaco | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed Monaco | 57c | 685$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panathinaikos | 45c | 383.26$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Panathinaikos | 44c | 253.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panathinaikos | 43c | 202.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panathinaikos | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 55c | 182.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 138.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 134$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…89acbacked Panathinaikos | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 119.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Monaco | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Monaco | 59c | 103.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Monaco | 57c | 49.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…ca63backed Monaco | 57c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Monaco | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…b33abacked Monaco | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…b96dbacked Monaco | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.