Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ae2656fa5f75ea4626d490a89398d75222f37624c1dd32c3ebe763c4ecec77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 65c | 12,835$8,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.3 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 75c | 3,494$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 39c | 3,142$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.39 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 78c | 3,050$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 4c | 2,904$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 56c | 2,550$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.35 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…8b87backed Yes | 49c | 2,233$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 18c | 1,865$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.56 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 1,829$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.91 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498a…5e7bbacked No | 15c | 1,544$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 32c | 1,263$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.41 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…ab66backed Yes | 80c | 1,169$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…efafbacked No | 16c | 1,130$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 55c | 945.55$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.11 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 29c | 902.11$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed No | 3c | 900.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…d264backed Yes | 60c | 890.66$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 67c | 889.97$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.06 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 54c | 873.87$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.16 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 58c | 711.62$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…f7e7backed Yes | 67c | 703$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed Yes | 78c | 702.63$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…ea25backed Yes | 56c | 675.49$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…d6b7backed No | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…0a7bbacked Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 61c | 600$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e1…9010backed Yes | 67c | 599.98$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 72c | 596.82$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 78c | 492.58$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 16c | 489.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…1a76backed Yes | 64c | 478.2$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 79c | 460.52$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 75c | 419.31$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 32c | 388.37$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed Yes | 67c | 374.02$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 16c | 347.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 31c | 339.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed Yes | 57c | 335$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 9c | 331.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 76c | 329.35$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 281$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 4c | 260$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 17c | 259.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 41c | 255.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 34c | 250$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 39c | 248.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…c7e4backed Yes | 68c | 246.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 59c | 227.4$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…9797backed No | 12c | 213.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 205.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 29c | 203.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 19c | 169.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 53c | 157.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 19c | 154.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 68c | 150.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 11c | 146.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed No | 17c | 142.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 17c | 139.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 17c | 139.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 127$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 62c | 121.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 20c | 118.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 18c | 116.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…e2b0backed Yes | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 10c | 114.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 26c | 112.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…5d49backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…2bb3backed No | 14c | 104$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a64abacked Yes | 54c | 103.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…3cfabacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…b247backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed No | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 12c | 98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 97.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…8693backed No | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 32c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 17c | 87.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…37b3backed No | 29c | 87.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 21c | 86.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…2babbacked Yes | 61c | 82.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 20c | 80.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 18c | 79.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 68.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 44c | 64.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked No | 32c | 50.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 55c | 48.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…e965backed Yes | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…8e07backed Yes | 67c | 45.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?this page
- Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No won
- Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No won
- Will Jonathan McColumn be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No won
- Will Rick Temple be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.