TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a1c…efafbacked Yes10c8,948$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.274238.1%16 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-43.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79ed…0de6backed Yes20c6,195$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.460%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes0c5,825$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4322833.8%77 W · 151 L+13.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes0c5,800$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes20c5,461$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.4111522.6%26 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498a…5e7bbacked Yes8c4,968$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.91127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda80…fdb4backed Yes9c3,648$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dcd…167dbacked Yes10c3,259$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab0…f8c9backed Yes0c3,195$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x88ac…a0e5backed Yes10c3,066$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d53…bc8abacked Yes9c2,913$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec8…7c74backed Yes10c2,748$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc024…5907backed Yes10c2,596$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d0…6d0bbacked Yes10c2,467$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c6d…37debacked Yes10c2,465$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e8…097bbacked Yes9c2,327$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2584…2891backed Yes10c2,324$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d71…f1f3backed Yes9c2,229$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8a…7604backed Yes10c2,047$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299a…8606backed Yes10c2,030$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f36…4afebacked Yes9c2,005$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b11…6230backed Yes10c1,964$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ab9…95b5backed Yes10c1,950$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…174cbacked Yes10c1,892$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c9…f3dbbacked Yes10c1,849$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c75…f527backed Yes9c1,832$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c0c…dcf1backed Yes9c1,815$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fe…4d47backed Yes10c1,791$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374f…64acbacked Yes10c1,781$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e27…76ebbacked Yes10c1,690$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0558…fee1backed Yes10c1,675$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56b…3630backed Yes10c1,663$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590b…0276backed Yes9c1,621$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0778…73d1backed Yes4c1,616$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.963030%9 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d80…66f5backed Yes10c1,606$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes11c1,594$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.773818.4%7 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085b…b3cebacked Yes10c1,565$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe232…399cbacked Yes9c1,477$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ab…5917backed Yes9c1,471$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd7…fe1dbacked Yes10c1,469$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be0…c193backed Yes10c1,436$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2a…bd4fbacked Yes9c1,408$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad59…345dbacked Yes10c1,345$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb528…00c0backed Yes10c1,191$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9526…43dcbacked Yes10c1,171$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbe…13cfbacked Yes10c1,170$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc51c…ebc6backed Yes10c1,149$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes5c1,137$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.552138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes8c1,084$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.631823.8%7 W · 175 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1267…35d1backed Yes10c1,024$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35c…30a4backed Yes9c1,012$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd62…6a7ebacked Yes5c1,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.951741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x274e…648cbacked Yes10c973.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.64953.1%26 W · 23 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick31cpaid+87.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa3e5…b771backed Yes10c945$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61c…cd83backed Yes9c937$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8fa…71e9backed Yes9c875$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x501d…20d8backed Yes10c868$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes9c845.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d4c5backed Yes10c839$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked Yes9c838.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.311711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f78…2e44backed Yes10c836$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes21c831$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.623020%6 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…314abacked Yes10c808$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes14c700$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd99…c21ebacked Yes9c689$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa857…c3f8backed Yes9c681$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24e8…1815backed Yes9c662$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e2…18d2backed Yes16c625.16$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…caeabacked Yes10c598$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d5…c665backed No75c582.19$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-55.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes18c567.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.423026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0222…628bbacked Yes9c557$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c86…1055backed Yes9c538$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50e…583ebacked Yes8c528.68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c513.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1349511.5%57 W · 438 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes7c501.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.371042.9%3 W · 101 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed No51c451.82$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8627222.1%60 W · 212 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3db…f426backed Yes10c429$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes16c369.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3518310.4%19 W · 164 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed No64c307$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Yes17c300.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes4c295$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.393920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c279.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0234129.3%100 W · 241 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86dd…1af2backed No64c278.29$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No72c250$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.212545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes7c248.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.366322.2%14 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes20c237.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.99147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-76.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No74c215.95$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8215445.5%70 W · 84 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes6c199.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes11c196.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.913622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-69.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes11c196.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.913414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-52.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc79f…e3febacked Yes11c194.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1258%2 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf132…1dc7backed Yes10c188$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No79c180$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b95…91d5backed Yes10c172$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes9c164.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8316632.5%54 W · 112 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1410946.8%51 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No58c152.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.945561.8%34 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes13c152.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7722948.9%112 W · 117 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.