Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49fa404b1a63d4fb1cbc86dfac727e9bf5fd26db74318a857d82730ce5f7b325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4a0…8b87backed Yes | 24c | 6,255$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 3c | 4,925$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498a…5e7bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,498$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…cf61backed Yes | 6c | 4,457$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 3c | 4,420$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c32…d981backed Yes | 6c | 3,025$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ef…71cdbacked Yes | 6c | 2,781$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…ae1bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,598$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…5340backed Yes | 6c | 2,474$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…26c4backed Yes | 6c | 2,222$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…9060backed Yes | 6c | 2,215$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…70e9backed Yes | 6c | 2,132$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e97…bf4abacked Yes | 6c | 2,065$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 2c | 2,046$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d71…f1f3backed Yes | 6c | 2,045$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7e…b3d7backed Yes | 6c | 1,883$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,832$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…c624backed Yes | 6c | 1,744$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…9be4backed Yes | 6c | 1,740$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc3…f494backed Yes | 6c | 1,728$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,671$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…1038backed Yes | 12c | 1,657$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0222…628bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,572$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…d637backed Yes | 6c | 1,544$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…9294backed Yes | 5c | 1,510$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…7c6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,492$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf8…9bd5backed Yes | 5c | 1,471$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1b62backed Yes | 6c | 1,458$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…71e9backed Yes | 7c | 1,453$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317b…b81cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,446$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…74cdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,434$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…dd59backed Yes | 7c | 1,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…d4e9backed Yes | 5c | 1,428$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379b…2fd6backed Yes | 6c | 1,412$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…d9cfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,412$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…cd83backed Yes | 6c | 1,402$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ce…6fc6backed Yes | 7c | 1,383$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…0f15backed Yes | 6c | 1,340$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…30a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,274$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…c193backed Yes | 5c | 1,219$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…5820backed Yes | 6c | 1,185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9526…43dcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,154$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…8fdcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…7cbdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf54…2d2fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,095$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…65bebacked Yes | 6c | 1,067$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…c462backed Yes | 6c | 1,066$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…f2b6backed Yes | 5c | 1,061$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…fe7abacked Yes | 5c | 1,034$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcd…167dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,008$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…f825backed Yes | 5c | 990$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…1e7abacked Yes | 5c | 977$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…263ebacked Yes | 6c | 968$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…3324backed Yes | 5c | 952$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 47c | 927.71$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…726bbacked Yes | 5c | 890$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2a…bd4fbacked Yes | 6c | 866$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…bc8abacked Yes | 8c | 843$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…bd2cbacked Yes | 8c | 801$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…1f6abacked Yes | 8c | 792$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed Yes | 13c | 786$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…244dbacked Yes | 5c | 780$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed55…a194backed Yes | 6c | 768$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…6861backed Yes | 8c | 767$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…391dbacked Yes | 6c | 767$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…6864backed Yes | 5c | 765$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…13fcbacked Yes | 6c | 762$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…ee67backed Yes | 5c | 761$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…e007backed Yes | 6c | 757$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4416…fab8backed Yes | 6c | 743$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4afebacked Yes | 6c | 739$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a44…2560backed Yes | 6c | 735$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…74f8backed Yes | 7c | 725$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…01a9backed Yes | 6c | 717$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a89…911bbacked Yes | 8c | 714$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a3…36adbacked Yes | 6c | 704$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…34c2backed Yes | 6c | 700$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed Yes | 3c | 661.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…9341backed Yes | 6c | 653$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…7f37backed Yes | 6c | 645$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…fe34backed Yes | 6c | 607$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…5917backed Yes | 8c | 603$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…5099backed Yes | 6c | 603$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…aba1backed Yes | 6c | 603$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…57d4backed Yes | 5c | 596$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…3d07backed Yes | 6c | 591$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…8aeebacked Yes | 8c | 590$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…87a8backed Yes | 6c | 554$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e4…bba7backed Yes | 6c | 551$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…7fe7backed Yes | 6c | 518$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 10c | 487.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 4c | 485.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 8c | 418$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…be68backed Yes | 5c | 401.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 5c | 296.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…e5e6backed Yes | 4c | 272.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 270$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 258.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 5c | 250.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?this page
- Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No won
- Will Jonathan McColumn be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No won
- Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes won
- Will Rick Temple be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.