TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Over 5.5of Over 5.5, Under 5.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd10c…0645backed Under 5.541c5,125$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.322937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Over 5.559c2,758$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.919549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8293…ddf4backed Under 5.547c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5641942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over 5.540c1,100$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over 5.553c1,080$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.7866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under 5.548c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Under 5.578c900.04$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.8926530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Over 5.557c887.29$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.746426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over 5.552c755.99$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over 5.553c732.52$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.761740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Under 5.547c715.55$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.313953.8%21 W · 18 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Under 5.560c607.97$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1290863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bf6…f2a3backed Under 5.574c400.2$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over 5.557c392.18$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0838152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54eb…f90fbacked Under 5.560c357.87$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-75.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over 5.528c309.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8326034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Under 5.561c303.22$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Under 5.561c303.22$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.962646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over 5.536c287.94$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2818140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Under 5.538c262.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.942157.1%12 W · 9 L+6.3wins+0.30per pick27cpaid+99.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Under 5.578c253.03$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3611450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…9cfabacked Under 5.578c253.03$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.365257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over 5.561c237.11$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under 5.543c233.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.216636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6acb…06bdbacked Over 5.570c230.17$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a66…2c23backed Over 5.553c173.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.593342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under 5.541c173.84$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2739864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Over 5.570c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0917356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae7…1c3bbacked Under 5.579c139.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under 5.546c128.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2663555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Under 5.578c126.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6811645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf81…697dbacked Over 5.538c123$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+122.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Under 5.562c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.45330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Under 5.531c116.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.725913.6%8 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under 5.550c116.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.436350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Under 5.545c111.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.141227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Under 5.550c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Over 5.548c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5216947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Over 5.550c99.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5023139.8%92 W · 139 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under 5.536c99.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…21a8backed Under 5.576c99.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacdf…f80abacked Over 5.553c97.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.674656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over 5.552c93.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1915961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a32…6e14backed Under 5.540c86.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.711442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x890e…6334backed Over 5.553c83.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Over 5.558c78.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.016639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e44…9d02backed Over 5.556c71.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.253850%19 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf90…644dbacked Under 5.578c65.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Over 5.552c65.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.387119.7%14 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf66…b444backed Under 5.525c62.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.831338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9a…8f09backed Over 5.547c61.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Over 5.550c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x245e…0f2ebacked Over 5.579c59.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Over 5.567c57.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8418661.8%115 W · 71 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5582…d24ebacked Over 5.552c56.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.013060%18 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under 5.557c55.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4714860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bf…0eaebacked Over 5.550c51.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over 5.571c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.511852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0c…970dbacked Over 5.572c49.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4480…8c0ebacked Over 5.551c49.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3710351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Under 5.534c48.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3316539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe709…bcc6backed Over 5.521c47.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3875…cdfebacked Under 5.555c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ef…5123backed Over 5.524c43.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over 5.570c42.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6323651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5520…6938backed Under 5.548c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.387548%36 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under 5.568c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.237253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…5629backed Under 5.578c37.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8604…fd3abacked Over 5.575c36.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.182147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x616f…b241backed Over 5.560c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.215950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe869…1d79backed Under 5.544c31.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe613…92acbacked Over 5.554c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4178…defabacked Under 5.567c29.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa609…087abacked Under 5.569c28.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x431e…d3c6backed Under 5.578c25.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-65.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd383…f141backed Under 5.578c25.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Under 5.551c25.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8748255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Over 5.570c21.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3121651.4%111 W · 105 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa4…5c82backed Over 5.562c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over 5.551c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.813953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453c…7141backed Under 5.578c19.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7a…f619backed Under 5.563c19.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9c4…b937backed Over 5.578c18.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.172944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over 5.559c18.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.753551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.