Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x978bcb5f6315d2b421dd1fd9f704f5c753b6007c6f16f74d92ac257c7bea20a2

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,853 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2816…c811backed No	26c	506.2$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.6	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	71c	488.71$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.09	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…c054backed No	29c	400$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	30c	339.6$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.86	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	33c	337.94$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.06	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No	46c	294.08$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.89	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Yes	71c	281.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	106	67.9%72 W · 34 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	66c	249.99$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.99	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	68c	240.06$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.17	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	18c	217.08$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	29c	200$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes	56c	199.98$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.99	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	32c	150$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes	57c	132$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.88	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked No	44c	114.77$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.77	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes	69c	98.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.3	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	33c	88.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	33c	85.6$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.05	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	24c	84.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.4	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	78c	80$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	69c	72.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed No	80c	70$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x064f…e6b8backed Yes	76c	65$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	43c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	34c	58.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.67	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cce…6681backed Yes	70c	57.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	41c	56.6$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	67c	54.78$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.95	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac2d…a9c4backed Yes	74c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…c616backed Yes	70c	42.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2538…b223backed No	32c	38.61$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.25	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Yes	70c	28.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	60%72 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…8c5fbacked Yes	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-8.9wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	66c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes	77c	24.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked Yes	50c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe6da…2a10backed Yes	70c	21.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed Yes	78c	20$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe4bc…f7b0backed Yes	78c	20$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes	72c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed Yes	76c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a0…9cb0backed Yes	76c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	66cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Yes	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d8b…35dcbacked Yes	76c	19.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	74cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	72c	19.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	68c	17.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d5…31a4backed Yes	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	69c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event