Will Aurélien Tchouaméni score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b677dc8740180e37f012c9a643a96591256585eca502a6f318b9d1330b8ff2e

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,390 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	5c	1,864$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.54	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	3c	1,588$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.36	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Yes	4c	968.27$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.05	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	28c	852.6$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.13	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes	22c	655.04$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.11	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	3c	624.92$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	564.39$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.62	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	3c	496.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.39	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed No	76c	463.31$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.31	131	57.3%75 W · 56 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	72c	400$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes	3c	399.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	28c	350$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	72c	350$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a34…959bbacked Yes	5c	307.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	70c	287.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.14	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	52c	228.33$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	11c	212.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22dc…7b11backed Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095b…25cabacked Yes	15c	195.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	18c	172.23$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	20c	151.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No	72c	125$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	128	47.7%61 W · 67 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	9c	114.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked No	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	30c	60$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	72c	52.39$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	69c	50.46$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.64	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	26c	46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	68c	44.06$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	74c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.46	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Aurélien Tchouaméni score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event