NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Total Games O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f1654352a9d8ee3ef6c5511b879ba5e77aaab314091aafd350666385c7ecd1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 5.5of Over 5.5, Under 5.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc31c…7830backed Under 5.5 | 45c | 7,107$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over 5.5 | 56c | 5,445$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.47 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over 5.5 | 52c | 988$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.76 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Over 5.5 | 53c | 492.22$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over 5.5 | 52c | 354.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under 5.5 | 31c | 186$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e64…9d7abacked Over 5.5 | 63c | 158.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…d18bbacked Under 5.5 | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…70ddbacked Over 5.5 | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…7509backed Over 5.5 | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Over 5.5 | 54c | 38.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…cdf1backed Over 5.5 | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Over 5.5 | 74c | 20.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.