Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1539d11bc746381c2110bc0e737eaf3c9d57362b82571061bcc36f708e50aa0

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,485 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked No	66c	758.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.09	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	37c	711.83$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.49	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes	36c	600$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	69c	558.48$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.23	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	28c	536.43$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b69…4350backed Yes	7c	434.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb53…2860backed Yes	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	13c	396.01$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.85	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Yes	13c	388.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	11c	347.1$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.81	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed No	73c	293.22$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.56	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	74c	270.04$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.04	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	76c	246.35$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	72c	246$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.88	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	71c	224.24$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.89	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	10c	204.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Yes	31c	200$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed No	71c	150.32$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.83	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	13c	145$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…3e56backed Yes	10c	113.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	64c	109.38$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.38	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	85	25.9%22 W · 63 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7420…fc53backed Yes	55c	83.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.35	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	16c	82.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.15	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb639…5b97backed No	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	24c	54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	79c	53$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.21	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c89…0057backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1f1…a99abacked Yes	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	35cpaid	+111.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2230…eef5backed Yes	33c	47.91$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab6…2075backed No	74c	46.93$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	38c	46.13$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.61	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	37c	40.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a0c…74f9backed No	76c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed No	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75d9…2df8backed Yes	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No	80c	38.89$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	53	86.8%46 W · 7 L	+9.6wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes	31c	37.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	73c	36.68$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e1…e621backed No	71c	35.29$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.29	70	72.9%51 W · 19 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	73c	21.57$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.75	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8647…d870backed No	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event