Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc2625b1103fd429f97f93d43cf60cbd1e1b75c89bf02a6fa8aa8c8799bcf2e5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	44c	2,540$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,422.59	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes	56c	2,530$1,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,416.49	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	64c	352.03$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.81	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	77c	258.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.1	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Yes	50c	208.92$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.63	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe58b…d323backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	48c	170$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.2	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	63c	152.29$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.29	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed No	51c	136.92$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.92	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	69c	134.06$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.23	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	63c	110.02$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.99	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked Yes	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd94a…4786backed Yes	54c	72$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.66	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	30c	71$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.7	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	32c	70$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	48c	59.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Yes	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	38c	52.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	33c	50.7$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed No	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	49c	44$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.66	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	55c	43.64$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76b…c054backed No	29c	39.96$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.24	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8647…d870backed No	45c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe6…2769backed No	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	59c	21.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.89	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c57…eb35backed No	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event