NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a6f9fce14d84886cc433691b36e4efc0f1f13be6fa8b595c8189006b62d7e76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 47c | 16,378$7,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,609.09 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Stars | 53c | 10,073$5,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 42c | 7,167$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.52 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Stars | 52c | 5,831$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.95 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Wild | 42c | 4,858$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.81 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Stars | 52c | 4,680$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.36 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Stars | 66c | 2,688$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.37 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Wild | 63c | 2,086$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.76 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Stars | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Stars | 66c | 1,698$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.22 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Stars | 39c | 1,217$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.34 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Wild | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Stars | 48c | 888.05$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.31 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Wild | 35c | 853.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.82 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Wild | 48c | 828.44$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Stars | 27c | 787.62$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 67c | 699$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.44 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Stars | 54c | 680.68$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.57 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stars | 42c | 618.64$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Stars | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Wild | 51c | 489.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Stars | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Wild | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0dd…14f2backed Stars | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 46c | 318.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.41 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Stars | 52c | 312.71$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Stars | 53c | 304.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…0030backed Wild | 66c | 298.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Stars | 36c | 275$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Stars | 24c | 260.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Stars | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b1…315abacked Stars | 38c | 238.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Wild | 64c | 216.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Stars | 67c | 200$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…1e72backed Wild | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…f991backed Stars | 29c | 188.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Stars | 43c | 178.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…03c6backed Stars | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wild | 54c | 156.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Stars | 69c | 147.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…9650backed Stars | 38c | 144.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…0cccbacked Stars | 51c | 140.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Stars | 52c | 121.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…d462backed Stars | 43c | 107.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stars | 36c | 102.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Stars | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Stars | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…7094backed Stars | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…2f3dbacked Wild | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Wild | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stars | 44c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…f2d3backed Stars | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca3…751bbacked Stars | 53c | 72.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Stars | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…da2abacked Wild | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Stars | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…d18bbacked Stars | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…f0b6backed Stars | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…d090backed Stars | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Stars | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Wild | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Wild | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…4af7backed Stars | 50c | 39.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…71b4backed Stars | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…7736backed Stars | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Stars | 36c | 37.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Stars | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…1a14backed Stars | 69c | 33.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Stars | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Stars | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…3e16backed Stars | 54c | 28.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa635…ceedbacked Stars | 66c | 28.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Wild | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…87d8backed Wild | 48c | 21.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.