La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win Copa Del Rey?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36d2ecfe6d4ecf0007f5ec25f5e5a84a93ab6dd8179647f4cd6e88b46fd7d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,264$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.66 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 41c | 1,734$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 46c | 1,528$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.03 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 47c | 1,175$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 53c | 996.21$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed No | 43c | 672.67$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.25 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 31c | 610.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 430.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.24 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 53c | 394.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked No | 53c | 391.72$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 320.22$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.67 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…7e68backed Yes | 33c | 238.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…f940backed No | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 53c | 149.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac0…7ab9backed Yes | 32c | 119.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 56c | 112.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…9382backed Yes | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…d18bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…dcdebacked Yes | 31c | 92.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…d63ebacked Yes | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…520cbacked Yes | 33c | 87.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 70c | 63.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked No | 71c | 55.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…50e4backed Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked No | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…3949backed Yes | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…2012backed Yes | 30c | 47.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…84b7backed No | 46c | 46.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…1c15backed Yes | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 55c | 38.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…d028backed Yes | 58c | 33.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 31.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c7…554dbacked Yes | 49c | 31.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 45c | 25.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 43c | 24.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…be5bbacked Yes | 47c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 50c | 21.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed No | 66c | 20.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 53c | 19.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked Yes | 78c | 17.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win Copa Del Rey?this page
- Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.