Fifa International · resolved market
World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d13977ba388921aa43e79c34986729e5cae90d1f110178765cafd95ec08e169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Under | 1c | 38,919$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.69 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Under | 8c | 2,000$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under | 17c | 1,632$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4913backed Over | 80c | 877.19$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Under | 2c | 631.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 4c | 623$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Under | 6c | 549.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…71f6backed Under | 23c | 506.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Under | 6c | 434.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Over | 78c | 399.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Under | 6c | 213.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…0b39backed Under | 25c | 207.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…f3cbbacked Under | 20c | 147.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Under | 14c | 122$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Under | 13c | 115.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 80c | 107.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…d18bbacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…181ebacked Under | 25c | 88.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 78c | 70.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Over | 80c | 59.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 22c | 51.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Over | 73c | 28.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.