Will Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c1058d30c9df7c6ef2e9ec84f0ff68ca99bda07341cee311e7fa58ada275f5a

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,426 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	18c	374$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.3	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	57c	370.45$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	45c	300$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	65c	299.91$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.91	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes	45c	222.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	49c	163.96$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes	54c	162.96$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	54c	129.63$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	15c	120.41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	22c	109.18$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.37	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No	39c	106.11$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.31	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed No	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes	38c	90$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	54c	87.31$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.07	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7083…53ecbacked Yes	39c	76.31$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	44c	71$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.76	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes	50c	63.22$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	44c	54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe673…b3d9backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	51c	47.22$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	40c	45.93$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.56	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes	37c	42.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	50c	38.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.33	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	46c	38.59$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.84	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	59c	37.79$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.49	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	55c	33.05$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.82	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d5b…acdcbacked Yes	31c	32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	47c	30.98$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.42	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No	52c	30.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	277	29.2%81 W · 196 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	40c	30.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.04	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	39c	30.02$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.31	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	60c	27.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.79	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f0…78babacked No	59c	26.31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.79	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	48c	22.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x069e…961bbacked Yes	50c	20.19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x448b…c94abacked Yes	55c	20.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Yes	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc21…f297backed No	70c	17.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.14	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event