Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd06396ce5eacad78ca2ca7a654f207f70dc35822aed26b14cb0baff1da138b56

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,692 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	27c	674.58$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.81	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	12c	636.1$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.63	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	71c	432.36$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.65	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	37c	362.88$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.12	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes	69c	290.15$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	20c	211.04$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	66c	198.94$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.14	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	48c	194.36$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.07	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	49c	193.7$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.36	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No	53c	170$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.05	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	45c	156.63$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.29	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	78c	120$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No	57c	119.44$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.44	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7083…53ecbacked Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No	66c	109.05$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.32	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	27c	108.97$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.91	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	50c	108.77$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.2	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	41c	106.22$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.67	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	57c	105$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.15	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503e…999cbacked Yes	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	26c	91.62$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes	12c	91.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	43c	85.23$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.89	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes	44c	82$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.84	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	64c	79.03$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.69	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	63c	76.48$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.18	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a0c…74f9backed No	43c	74.88$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.68	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	66c	73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.18	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	41c	68.65$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb477…673ebacked No	67c	67.16$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.16	85	71.8%61 W · 24 L	+7.0wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7597…5f01backed Yes	46c	64.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	47c	60.06$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.08	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	76c	57.58$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	56c	55.55$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	76c	52.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	35c	46.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbac…87c5backed Yes	48c	43.79$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cee…ffeabacked Yes	46c	42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…b295backed Yes	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	41c	33.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	46c	32.64$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-11.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	65c	31.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	45c	31.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	277	29.2%81 W · 196 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	78c	27.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.9	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	57c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	58c	22.42$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	77c	22.26$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.15	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c01…7cafbacked Yes	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-4.6wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event