NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41c3c7bf8412216091308ca8e2935a819cc1ecf585f7f14a359d3431949546db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Habsof Habs, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Lightning | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Lightning | 58c | 63,325$36,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,728.48 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Habs | 42c | 35,005$14,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,302.76 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 57c | 34,072$19,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,508.52 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Habs | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Habs | 33c | 17,198$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,437.51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Habs | 59c | 13,299$7,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.99 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Habs | 45c | 9,097$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.71 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Lightning | 58c | 6,328$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.23 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Habs | 33c | 5,991$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.68 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Habs | 39c | 5,820$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Habs | 43c | 5,049$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…f44ebacked Lightning | 63c | 5,021$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Habs | 41c | 4,348$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.32 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Lightning | 54c | 4,132$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 61c | 4,127$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.61 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Habs | 50c | 3,510$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Lightning | 46c | 3,146$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.4 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Habs | 47c | 2,954$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.14 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067d…1ceebacked Habs | 41c | 2,853$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Habs | 32c | 2,763$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Lightning | 36c | 2,672$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Habs | 44c | 2,075$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.69 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lightning | 55c | 2,035$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.28 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Habs | 38c | 1,993$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.53 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Lightning | 57c | 1,934$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.4 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Habs | 60c | 1,634$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.04 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lightning | 47c | 1,481$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.13 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…6c7bbacked Habs | 42c | 1,220$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Habs | 37c | 1,190$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.51 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Habs | 47c | 1,099$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Lightning | 68c | 1,060$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Habs | 40c | 1,039$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.2 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Lightning | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Habs | 32c | 995$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked Lightning | 25c | 903.45$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…537ebacked Habs | 41c | 885$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Lightning | 38c | 869.64$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.35 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…235bbacked Habs | 41c | 856.37$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…eca0backed Habs | 44c | 830.92$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lightning | 60c | 799.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Habs | 56c | 756.6$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.91 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4da5backed Habs | 53c | 751.38$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 61c | 658.31$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.61 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…dcdbbacked Habs | 41c | 644.66$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Habs | 58c | 636.14$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.18 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…61a4backed Habs | 39c | 633.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Lightning | 68c | 631.78$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.33 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Habs | 50c | 630.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.25 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Lightning | 55c | 615.49$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0dd…14f2backed Habs | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lightning | 65c | 594.22$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.07 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Habs | 42c | 556.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…fb5bbacked Habs | 45c | 541.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Habs | 60c | 521.47$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Lightning | 67c | 509.45$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.33 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Habs | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Lightning | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lightning | 51c | 465.14$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…fe1fbacked Habs | 50c | 437.61$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…1e72backed Habs | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…a58cbacked Habs | 33c | 404.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Lightning | 31c | 397.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Habs | 31c | 336.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e7…7f1ebacked Habs | 33c | 335.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lightning | 50c | 320$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Lightning | 18c | 319.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Habs | 40c | 312.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.25 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Habs | 47c | 312.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a1…4739backed Habs | 33c | 305.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Habs | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Lightning | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Habs | 72c | 299.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Lightning | 60c | 293.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Habs | 45c | 293.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4b38backed Habs | 43c | 292.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…cc72backed Lightning | 62c | 280.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…e14cbacked Habs | 68c | 278.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Habs | 54c | 272.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e64…9d7abacked Habs | 33c | 261.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…aff8backed Lightning | 62c | 253.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Lightning | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Habs | 38c | 247.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…0368backed Habs | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa92f…bd4fbacked Habs | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Habs | 50c | 244$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbf…05b8backed Habs | 41c | 242.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…b9e2backed Habs | 32c | 229.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd98…3958backed Habs | 55c | 215.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…293ebacked Habs | 33c | 215.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Lightning | 39c | 215.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Habs | 42c | 214.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…cf03backed Habs | 32c | 208.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda3…e971backed Habs | 59c | 207.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Lightning | 60c | 204.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…dd77backed Habs | 72c | 203.49$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…4c1ebacked Habs | 33c | 201.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…3666backed Habs | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…8ed4backed Habs | 50c | 197.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…1329backed Habs | 49c | 196.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.