TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe69c…e14c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+447.9%+$89.58
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51.35
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$48.11
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$97
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$41.82
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-56.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$101.07
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.88
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$31.04
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$88.59
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$64.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 6 above $230?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.