TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EYEBALLERSof NRG, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$523,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$553,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed NRG61c79,762$48,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,525.545238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked EYEBALLERS56c43,085$23,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,087.7615245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NRG45c38,348$17,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,231.2272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed EYEBALLERS60c27,772$16,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,187.2823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked NRG40c16,978$6,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,754.433,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NRG61c14,952$9,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,113.8877052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked EYEBALLERS36c11,570$4,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,404.8812847.7%61 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked NRG40c10,144$4,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,057.781060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked EYEBALLERS36c9,823$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,287.0332752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed NRG40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60035254%190 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG39c8,376$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2965,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed NRG9c8,076$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.6230340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked NRG41c6,093$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.2917042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked EYEBALLERS42c5,734$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,327.425,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed EYEBALLERS39c5,106$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.674555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG4c5,023$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.763,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked EYEBALLERS65c5,015$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.991,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed EYEBALLERS36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20085358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed EYEBALLERS37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9722358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG41c4,331$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.97,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed NRG58c4,081$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.0519645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed EYEBALLERS38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48072046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked NRG64c3,816$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.447948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed NRG48c3,774$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed NRG40c3,440$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3766841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed NRG53c3,414$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.3936742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked NRG60c3,278$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.4420458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG31c3,103$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.866,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed EYEBALLERS60c2,960$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.211,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed NRG40c2,896$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.413044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed NRG64c2,881$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.5339248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed NRG41c2,724$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.0120838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked NRG45c2,562$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.651,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed NRG58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked EYEBALLERS40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed EYEBALLERS41c2,494$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.3635236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG62c2,482$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.5828538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked NRG41c2,367$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.315441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1085…e12dbacked EYEBALLERS39c2,362$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.984042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed NRG63c2,360$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.7429858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed NRG63c2,328$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.720946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed EYEBALLERS49c2,210$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.4456732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed EYEBALLERS39c2,100$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.51,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed NRG55c2,098$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.9813059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked EYEBALLERS57c1,800$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked NRG42c1,768$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.666947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked NRG43c1,694$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.2414144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed EYEBALLERS41c1,549$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.991,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed NRG59c1,502$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.2910951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed EYEBALLERS42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9919554.9%107 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed EYEBALLERS41c1,457$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.361,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed NRG60c1,453$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.5220249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NRG27c1,445$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.082,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed EYEBALLERS39c1,310$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.2411637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked EYEBALLERS49c1,265$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.0521146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed NRG43c1,233$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.320440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed EYEBALLERS57c1,223$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.3987847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked EYEBALLERS39c1,210$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.758158%47 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked EYEBALLERS60c1,209$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.861,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked NRG61c1,208$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.1239249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed NRG40c1,193$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.19554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked EYEBALLERS56c1,192$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.431,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed NRG41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.37342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed EYEBALLERS54c1,110$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.1257641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed NRG51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed EYEBALLERS37c999.97$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked NRG45c965.47$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5338942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed EYEBALLERS36c910$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.433232.2%107 W · 225 L-0.8wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed EYEBALLERS54c896.11$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.839850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked NRG32c892.38$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked NRG63c889.82$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.5938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed NRG43c865.3$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed NRG43c814.95$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.9625042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed NRG24c797.85$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed EYEBALLERS45c725.25$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.8615544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG55c708.45$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.474,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed EYEBALLERS38c699.95$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.975,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed NRG60c679.45$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4824262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked NRG58c678.8$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.394654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74fd…6c13backed EYEBALLERS69c676.63$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.753435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EYEBALLERS40c676.04$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.25,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked EYEBALLERS36c659.62$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.6934147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked EYEBALLERS71c655.61$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.152,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed EYEBALLERS38c633.42$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.725858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed EYEBALLERS36c628.89$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.4924339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3707…699abacked EYEBALLERS39c617.56$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed NRG41c610.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.283643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed EYEBALLERS39c606.01$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4262137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4048…d4adbacked EYEBALLERS38c603.71$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.094820.8%10 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-54.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG4c588.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.552,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed NRG63c586.68$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6115857.6%91 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed NRG41c578.76$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2931444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG41c572.53$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.741,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed NRG63c569.9$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.045162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed EYEBALLERS55c569.08$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.094837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed EYEBALLERS46c561.32$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG41c557.8$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.511,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked EYEBALLERS41c556.23$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4565351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed NRG23c539.49$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7778043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5d…ef01backed NRG48c504.88$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.