CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7775e05d3455bc0473198ef852052bc3875acaac3e332221acab95461ec162f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 49c | 4,092$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.16 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 3,669$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.23 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 50c | 1,040$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.29 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 1,034$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.54 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Under | 37c | 1,030$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.05 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 998$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 50c | 609.76$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.22 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 49c | 477.31$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 48c | 408.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 377.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 31c | 336.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 328.84$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 44c | 231.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 65c | 151.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 40c | 132.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 51c | 74.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 51c | 72.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 51c | 69.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…3f62backed Over | 49c | 50.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Under | 54c | 48.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Over | 39c | 47.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 68c | 45.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Under | 51c | 38.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c6…40babacked Over | 58c | 36.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…7483backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Over | 51c | 24.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Over | 55c | 18.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageEYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)EYEBALLERS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.