NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d23c0cf3046d603c6aa2d19a728c309efe5ad456603db2ed4bc8a15d7f40201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canesof Canes, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Senators | 39c | 45,493$17,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,739.15 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Canes | 60c | 29,636$17,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,854.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Senators | 18c | 28,585$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.61 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Canes | 60c | 10,411$6,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 11c | 9,088$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.87 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Canes | 76c | 4,080$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.33 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Senators | 18c | 2,729$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.18 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canes | 71c | 1,450$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.26 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 30c | 1,332$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.41 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…8868backed Canes | 61c | 827.71$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Senators | 2c | 695.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Senators | 38c | 650.74$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.28 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Canes | 72c | 627.31$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.83 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Senators | 30c | 610.11$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Canes | 61c | 585.96$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.52 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Senators | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Canes | 60c | 499.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…4f14backed Senators | 5c | 495.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Senators | 15c | 403.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Senators | 42c | 345.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1859backed Senators | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Canes | 63c | 311.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Senators | 18c | 291.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…7094backed Senators | 27c | 285.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Canes | 61c | 195.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Senators | 18c | 194.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0dd…14f2backed Senators | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…0cccbacked Canes | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Canes | 61c | 144.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Senators | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…cdcdbacked Senators | 26c | 123.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 15c | 118.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…3d3cbacked Canes | 60c | 118.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Canes | 59c | 117.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Canes | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Canes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Canes | 60c | 98.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Canes | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Senators | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ed…1c75backed Senators | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Canes | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Senators | 27c | 78.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Senators | 18c | 73.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Canes | 73c | 68.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Senators | 30c | 66.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…9afebacked Canes | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…da2abacked Canes | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4857backed Canes | 66c | 55.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Senators | 27c | 49.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Senators | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…d462backed Senators | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Canes | 65c | 45.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…d18bbacked Canes | 73c | 39.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Canes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Canes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…71a3backed Canes | 73c | 29.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e28…5b35backed Canes | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…29f0backed Canes | 78c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Canes | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…f458backed Canes | 77c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.