Will Wilson Isidor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83627797929c63709e3f16e2887c94f4afb4392e9a3aa68e8f95d9c9207e241c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,255 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8d85…f4e0backed No	68c	431.3$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.56	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.3wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	69c	280.69$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.14	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	35c	124$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.72	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	23c	120$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.8	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes	31c	65.69$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.33	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	31c	61$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.32	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Yes	35c	54.39$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.35	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	24c	50$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	35c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	74c	40.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes	36c	34.72$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.22	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc8a…7d9cbacked No	80c	31.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No	72c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-9.0wins	-0.25per pick	64cpaid	-35%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Wilson Isidor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event