Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d62406d718b45a9b0417e05d33aef6fe31381f2922acc0ba0938d99145299c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 22c | 7,242$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.74 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 54c | 7,086$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.12 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 56c | 4,298$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.36 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 38c | 3,754$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.94 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 59c | 3,560$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.82 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed No | 79c | 3,418$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 79c | 2,937$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.85 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 16c | 2,893$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 37c | 2,503$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.09 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 27c | 2,067$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.74 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,831$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.71 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed No | 64c | 1,784$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Yes | 14c | 1,626$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 57c | 1,568$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.84 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 72c | 1,560$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.04 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 64c | 1,465$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.45 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…6fb0backed No | 70c | 1,436$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 56c | 1,309$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.89 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,280$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.69 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…5127backed Yes | 31c | 1,117$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.23 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 1,089$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…3165backed Yes | 47c | 1,046$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.6 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +210%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 12c | 1,030$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 16c | 1,014$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…d6f8backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 55c | 997.23$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.73 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 14c | 972.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 46c | 906.36$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.78 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 60c | 905.75$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.23 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 42c | 877.41$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.96 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed No | 60c | 864.64$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.33 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 38c | 860.76$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.61 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…a3c9backed Yes | 24c | 856.88$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…3448backed Yes | 44c | 783.47$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Yes | 34c | 750$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 30c | 749.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 48c | 726$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 70c | 712.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 30c | 706.64$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.92 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 75c | 687.36$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 21c | 686$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.52 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 24c | 657.21$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 656.26$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 73c | 613.64$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 32c | 580$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Yes | 30c | 555$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…5e1cbacked Yes | 42c | 529.65$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…083dbacked No | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 66c | 511.65$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 58c | 502.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.01 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 55c | 500$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed Yes | 33c | 483.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 8c | 474.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 460.63$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed No | 66c | 440.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 19c | 422.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…be73backed Yes | 41c | 418.89$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 57c | 413.38$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 57c | 413.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…3ceabacked No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd726…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 43c | 389.54$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 62c | 372$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 26c | 370.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…feb0backed No | 69c | 362.53$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 36c | 352$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 25c | 345$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 12c | 340$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…45e6backed No | 29c | 321.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 11c | 314.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 31c | 311.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3666…aab6backed No | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +310.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 289.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 20c | 280.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34f…1c95backed No | 75c | 273.25$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…992bbacked Yes | 18c | 259.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…72dabacked No | 78c | 258.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 28c | 252$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…f00ebacked Yes | 41c | 246.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5ae8backed Yes | 37c | 239$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked No | 62c | 236.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 17c | 236$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 26c | 230.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 227.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…c095backed No | 61c | 226.84$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 73c | 224.18$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 68c | 224$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 5c | 220.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 26c | 209.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed Yes | 21c | 207.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.