Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fb31fab669deb7ea56cd8e60121b4ef00e1ea9cfd6425494cacff37e35b236e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 18c | 1,272$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.63 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,174$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 5c | 1,085$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 20c | 602.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 446.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 6c | 407$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 17c | 356.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 312.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 74c | 311.27$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed Yes | 5c | 283.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 17c | 277.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 221.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 25c | 218.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 8c | 218.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…c4b8backed Yes | 10c | 188.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 176.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…d361backed No | 78c | 155$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 23c | 131.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 72c | 101.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 22c | 97.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 21c | 95.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 72c | 61.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…081bbacked Yes | 21c | 52.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 25c | 42.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 28c | 41.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 79c | 39.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 74c | 21.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 78c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.