Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee9b550e5006b20459f31e467951264f123e188d8a6a0453b980f537d31de8bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 61c | 6,148$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.66 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe13…8b9cbacked No | 24c | 1,758$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.27 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…c441backed No | 1c | 1,090$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 2c | 962.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 37c | 944.94$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.94 | 270 | 24.4%66 W · 204 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 38c | 730$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.2 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 48c | 649.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.24 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 66c | 520$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 7c | 412.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 3c | 404.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 39c | 357.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 44c | 334$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 32c | 328.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 40c | 312.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 40c | 304$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 6c | 290$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed No | 32c | 271.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 30c | 234.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 18c | 230$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 51c | 225.55$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 73c | 217$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 32c | 206.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 199.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 41c | 153$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 71c | 145$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed No | 29c | 144$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 142.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5b…2979backed Yes | 66c | 125.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed No | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 281 | 11%31 W · 250 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb162…fa5ebacked No | 40c | 120.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…d76abacked No | 41c | 112.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 23c | 89.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 28c | 89.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 65c | 88.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 35c | 87.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 53c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 45c | 78.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 217 | 57.6%125 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…ec6fbacked No | 51c | 57.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…d714backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 70c | 47.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 71c | 47.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8c…f777backed No | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 73c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 53c | 43.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 73c | 28.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.