World Politics · resolved market
Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4869b9e0c77143dafceab05f7447f9b215e168b26df543ba01957650bf2428a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 3c | 2,462$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 11c | 2,045$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 20c | 1,768$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 8c | 1,302$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 633.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 470$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 459.86$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 380.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…6f50backed Yes | 4c | 352.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 347$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 7c | 301.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 5c | 285$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 225.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 210.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…3f5fbacked Yes | 6c | 172.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 7c | 144.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 7c | 144.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…f868backed No | 48c | 143$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 49c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 14c | 73.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 32c | 36.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 64c | 16.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Darren Jones be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes won
- Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Lisa Nandy be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.