World Politics · resolved market
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301106c98f4b5d022fa213f11191372c339cd51ef29b3db599e3394f01ea1592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 39c | 5,704$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.4 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 36c | 3,693$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 59c | 3,533$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 62c | 2,713$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.75 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 2,600$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 2,353$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.43 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 56c | 2,042$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…a69ebacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,798$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.89 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,532$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.03 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 35c | 1,423$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 42c | 998.29$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.23 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…4fa7backed No | 56c | 808.13$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 4c | 770$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed No | 60c | 766.32$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 32c | 732.63$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 42c | 710.95$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 57c | 655.44$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.11 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 49c | 637.95$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed No | 63c | 633.07$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked Yes | 39c | 626$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 566.82$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 39c | 521.58$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.27 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 21c | 462.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 33c | 453.58$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 450.65$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…9b58backed No | 41c | 449.06$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 14c | 446.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 446.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 34c | 424$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 76c | 423.27$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 43c | 414.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed No | 66c | 405$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Yes | 48c | 397.31$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 34c | 368$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 58c | 363$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 34c | 360.06$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.64 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 34c | 338.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…f2fabacked Yes | 32c | 331.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed No | 66c | 309.44$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 57c | 301$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…107abacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 290$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…310abacked Yes | 13c | 257.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 76c | 245.95$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 65c | 241$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 56c | 239.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 37c | 231.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 68c | 227.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…23ccbacked No | 65c | 221.27$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 29c | 219.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 219.88$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 39c | 218.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 216.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 37c | 210.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed Yes | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 56c | 194.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 187.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 64c | 175.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 56c | 170$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 46c | 164.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 25c | 164$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 65c | 158.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…3895backed No | 54c | 152$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Yes | 41c | 148.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 44c | 145.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked No | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 66c | 133.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 65c | 130$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…e665backed No | 66c | 129$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 68c | 123$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 58c | 121.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…988bbacked Yes | 32c | 121$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 10c | 120.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 63c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed Yes | 42c | 117.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 32c | 117.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 62c | 115.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…62b1backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 113.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 111$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 31c | 110.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed Yes | 43c | 109.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…aadabacked No | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Yes | 32c | 105.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 66c | 103.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Darren Jones be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes won
- Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Lisa Nandy be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.