Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x594d10c0fc6a99c6d38721b497cf4c18bd01728d68eef19984dd3703234ef100

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,944 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	1c	4,229$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	166	16.9%28 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x152f…c7e7backed Yes	2c	1,995$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked No	27c	1,929$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411.69	114	35.1%40 W · 74 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x645a…fd84backed No	37c	1,038$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.2	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	12c	954.5$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.29	182	16.5%30 W · 152 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	52c	826.77$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.16	457	23.2%106 W · 351 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e8e…5b53backed Yes	18c	814.42$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No	29c	751.59$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.35	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	78c	746.24$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.52	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb760…ccd7backed Yes	68c	743.6$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.59	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	33c	742.39$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.46	146	37%54 W · 92 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	34c	685.51$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.93	316	35.1%111 W · 205 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…6accbacked Yes	17c	637.76$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.22	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed No	13c	604.28$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+169.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes	70c	576.4$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.16	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	16c	569.39$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.92	463	30.2%140 W · 323 L	-20.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	8c	521.62$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.73	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7a8…9c50backed No	64c	422.6$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked No	18c	414.44$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.84	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0787…0ca3backed No	39c	411.84$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.06	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+5.3wins	+0.31per pick	45cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes	33c	394.69$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.15	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	33c	390.4$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.83	193	15.5%30 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	13c	386.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.31	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	+9.2wins	+0.12per pick	14cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Yes	78c	385.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0e…691dbacked No	65c	320$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes	38c	300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.6	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	37c	279.98$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.79	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6062…dec2backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes	48c	260.72$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.01	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+168.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	60c	258.05$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.11	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+86.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	10c	250$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.4	528	50.8%268 W · 260 L	+20.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab80…af18backed Yes	17c	250$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	5c	231.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	34c	219$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.2	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes	46c	218.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-65%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2940…304cbacked No	72c	215.81$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.01	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	38c	211.12$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.65	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes	19c	205$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.95	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No	8c	200$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.23	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec5…b6febacked No	40c	200$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	9c	200$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	18c	196$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.61	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	7c	191.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62b1…310abacked Yes	43c	176$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	65c	170$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.5	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+4.3wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	31c	150$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	10c	149.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	266	32.7%87 W · 179 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed Yes	47c	145.1$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.69	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	26c	125.48$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.67	274	38.3%105 W · 169 L	-32.3wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	40c	122.5$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x191e…ef6bbacked No	40c	121.21$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.43	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes	41c	111.83$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+7.0wins	+0.33per pick	43cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x05f4…66f6backed No	34c	107.06$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.71	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+122.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…b24abacked Yes	17c	105.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7291…1bd5backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	46c	99.7$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.07	246	37.4%92 W · 154 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…a10dbacked No	54c	97.01$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.17	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc77c…0d02backed Yes	70c	93$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	73cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed Yes	67c	88.72$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f5…4853backed No	30c	87.37$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2712…eb71backed No	61c	82.01$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.01	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-39%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe5…fe3fbacked Yes	57c	76.61$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736b…2e90backed No	53c	75$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9362…d4a4backed Yes	71c	73.21$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239f…8b82backed Yes	31c	70$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe522…8c25backed No	68c	66.37$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.26	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes	55c	61.01$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.4	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	36cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed No	70c	59.25$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.72	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6a…2ed3backed No	40c	53.22$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.09	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x509d…0799backed No	42c	50.92$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.68	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac76…9359backed No	32c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+52%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eb6…4f98backed Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	27c	48.97$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.72	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	42c	47.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.03	990	17.2%170 W · 820 L	-148.8wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked No	52c	44.68$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c4…2d99backed No	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…4c92backed No	61c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.8	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+43%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x023d…3431backed Yes	56c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.42per pick	56cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf722…4e1ebacked No	67c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c6…efd1backed No	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	48cpaid	+110.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	70c	39.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x676f…c546backed No	63c	39.4$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba1f…4258backed No	65c	39.4$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.77	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+69.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed No	32c	38.11$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.91	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb0…2b36backed No	32c	38.11$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.91	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	36cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83fa…d3fbbacked No	32c	38.11$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.91	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.25per pick	34cpaid	-74%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Yes	67c	33.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	62cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	71c	33.78$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	394	14%55 W · 339 L	-71.9wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1b3d…b7f1backed Yes	72c	32$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed No	55c	30.34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x126e…c360backed No	63c	27.02$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.03	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bca…c6dabacked No	55c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	47cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed No	52c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	46c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes	63c	22.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.94	86	36%31 W · 55 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa6…3c12backed Yes	69c	21.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?this page
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 16?No won
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 20?Yes won
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 21?Yes won
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Yes won
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by September 30?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event