AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6152d3deb5290571224899af4ada10e404c0cdacf1cd461935c5f6e658ed5863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 3c | 16,345$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.53 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…973ebacked Yes | 10c | 6,426$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.88 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…52fdbacked Yes | 3c | 6,316$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed71…d7cebacked Yes | 1c | 5,356$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5014…d5c9backed Yes | 4c | 5,127$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…2d69backed Yes | 9c | 4,849$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…4f93backed No | 78c | 4,710$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…8ea8backed No | 79c | 4,285$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 15c | 3,460$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.03 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 20c | 3,351$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 9c | 3,298$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.4 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 7c | 2,719$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 5c | 2,716$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…ecb5backed Yes | 4c | 2,632$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 2,447$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 2,329$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked Yes | 8c | 2,052$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 4c | 1,928$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…5f55backed Yes | 4c | 1,917$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 1,806$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 7c | 1,682$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…ff34backed Yes | 1c | 1,535$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,345$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 25c | 1,150$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…79b5backed Yes | 3c | 1,081$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…bf99backed Yes | 2c | 1,067$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 8c | 1,015$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3122…e529backed Yes | 2c | 1,011$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…5637backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Yes | 3c | 999.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 27c | 876.27$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.47 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 7c | 834$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 4c | 815.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…dbf8backed Yes | 4c | 768.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 760.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 744.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 9c | 708$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b4…95e9backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…dc61backed Yes | 50c | 624.84$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Yes | 13c | 603.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…a201backed Yes | 12c | 592.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 7c | 558.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…f4d5backed Yes | 46c | 545.02$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…43c7backed Yes | 3c | 539.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed Yes | 13c | 518.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…ece4backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…6806backed Yes | 4c | 473.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…6d78backed Yes | 7c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 5c | 356$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…ffddbacked Yes | 28c | 351.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 9c | 350.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe33…ad75backed Yes | 10c | 300.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Yes | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…0a8cbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e3…46cfbacked Yes | 17c | 271.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…e74bbacked Yes | 5c | 265.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 15c | 260.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…5b25backed Yes | 20c | 254.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1a4dbacked Yes | 8c | 252.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 7c | 246.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 11c | 238.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 6c | 222.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…9f48backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c8…3d3dbacked Yes | 46c | 218.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…5862backed Yes | 48c | 209.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…ac4dbacked Yes | 7c | 204.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 9c | 197$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed Yes | 10c | 194.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…3cd5backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 181.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 12c | 170.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e6…060cbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 146.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 8c | 146$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Yes | 12c | 136.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…e488backed Yes | 7c | 134.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed No | 52c | 121.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…a752backed Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 15c | 117.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…ddfabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90e…1400backed Yes | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2915…6cdbbacked Yes | 36c | 99.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 21c | 99.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 75c | 95.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 36c | 92.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.