AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2980d80d28d9e84579f278f1b5c220602fa47dd5fcd98a6990d2b128374fa334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 7,234$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 10c | 4,829$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.79 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 4,812$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.58 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 17c | 4,203$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.46 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 3c | 3,420$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed Yes | 61c | 3,271$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.33 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 64c | 2,873$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.44 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed No | 21c | 2,220$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.16 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 21c | 1,979$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.29 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 20c | 1,556$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.17 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 7c | 1,547$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 32c | 1,360$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.61 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 31c | 1,172$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.58 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed No | 15c | 1,076$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 37c | 1,071$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 1,036$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 53c | 946.65$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 915.84$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…a120backed No | 41c | 913.79$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 74c | 889.28$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…12c5backed No | 46c | 799.94$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 13c | 753.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…251cbacked Yes | 68c | 671.19$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfd…01ffbacked Yes | 76c | 659.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 37c | 645.03$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 612.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed No | 3c | 611.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…1c1fbacked No | 39c | 605.87$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 57c | 514$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 71c | 489.66$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 26c | 443.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 434.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed No | 7c | 431.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 11c | 403.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 36c | 400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…fe43backed Yes | 69c | 372$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 354.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 25c | 323$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 31c | 290$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 26c | 268.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…f88abacked No | 34c | 261.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 38c | 253.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 30c | 249$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…ad7fbacked Yes | 73c | 239.36$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 34c | 235.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 15c | 207.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…6ee3backed No | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 37c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…2d69backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 40c | 172$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 33c | 170.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…66bbbacked Yes | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…9ec9backed No | 20c | 151.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 38c | 144.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…add9backed No | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…23ccbacked No | 40c | 127.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…4955backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 42c | 117.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed Yes | 72c | 116.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…72bcbacked No | 13c | 112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed No | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…548ebacked No | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 29c | 107$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed No | 29c | 106.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 40c | 106$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…4aeebacked No | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 53c | 101.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc4…1a48backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed Yes | 69c | 96.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Yes | 65c | 95.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked No | 44c | 94.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 63c | 92.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…942dbacked No | 47c | 90.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 56c | 83.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 52c | 79.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…2210backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 38c | 59.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 69c | 58.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 75c | 57.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 65c | 53.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Yes | 70c | 50.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…1faabacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…974bbacked No | 31c | 47.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed Yes | 76c | 45.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.