AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x165b21b66bc7d20b64f90a01ad0fa1890e183e7499f74a3216de82cb2a8e9f62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 0c | 34,771$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…444fbacked Yes | 10c | 26,200$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 11c | 21,870$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…973ebacked Yes | 15c | 18,918$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.94 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 2c | 13,261$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.69 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,137$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…52fdbacked Yes | 4c | 8,933$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 7,722$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 11c | 6,280$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.28 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 5,793$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…d766backed Yes | 1c | 5,665$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,800$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 11c | 4,708$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 4,356$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 3c | 4,338$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…d9d6backed Yes | 0c | 3,582$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 6c | 3,419$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.13 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,395$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 6c | 3,204$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…ed38backed Yes | 3c | 2,115$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…60afbacked Yes | 12c | 1,978$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 1,793$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…d7b6backed Yes | 2c | 1,578$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 25c | 1,535$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,487$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,471$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed No | 78c | 1,421$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 1c | 1,416$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,411$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.75 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…5f55backed Yes | 5c | 1,384$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,314$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…45c4backed Yes | 5c | 1,207$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…0569backed Yes | 2c | 1,043$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…136bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…efe5backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…0a8cbacked Yes | 9c | 998.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…d14dbacked Yes | 1c | 875.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…222ebacked Yes | 3c | 824.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…548ebacked Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1278…8805backed Yes | 3c | 783.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 4c | 756.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…00bcbacked Yes | 2c | 752.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 10c | 750.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 14c | 705$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 13c | 693.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 7c | 619.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 603.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…dc61backed Yes | 11c | 571.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab7…70f6backed Yes | 12c | 546.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…dc96backed Yes | 9c | 534$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 9c | 507.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…ece4backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 70c | 496.61$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 8c | 489.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90e…1400backed Yes | 3c | 445$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…31cbbacked Yes | 6c | 433.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked Yes | 18c | 413.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…1d84backed Yes | 4c | 408.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…36cabacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…c815backed Yes | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 12c | 350$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d9…8483backed No | 72c | 345.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 341.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 15c | 337.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Yes | 15c | 336$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 15c | 323.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…ca1ebacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 307.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 5c | 303$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…5930backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…dbf8backed Yes | 7c | 294.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked Yes | 6c | 286.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…3675backed Yes | 6c | 260.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 15c | 240.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…a390backed Yes | 13c | 212.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…efffbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…cf82backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…64adbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 11c | 187.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…68f0backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…a5b0backed Yes | 6c | 175$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 11c | 171.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.