AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd99eec99c78913b3ed83bdbf484b2fdc21cfab2be9b3bc1ae75c42fbf94458b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2589…6868backed Yes | 48c | 12,882$6,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 39c | 11,575$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 11,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 77c | 8,988$6,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.43 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed Yes | 57c | 7,338$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.69 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 25c | 7,117$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.88 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 52c | 6,673$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…f5c2backed No | 0c | 5,866$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 1c | 5,095$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 8c | 4,176$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed No | 39c | 3,928$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.54 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked Yes | 70c | 3,782$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6681…77b9backed No | 1c | 3,716$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 27c | 3,552$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Yes | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 48c | 3,500$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked No | 7c | 3,495$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…8c8ebacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…3f0dbacked No | 11c | 2,827$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…4c0cbacked No | 52c | 2,555$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 29c | 2,438$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.9 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…7657backed No | 12c | 2,402$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +192.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 32c | 2,179$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 10c | 2,020$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…fe86backed No | 17c | 1,973$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…974bbacked No | 18c | 1,867$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 19c | 1,743$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.04 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed No | 25c | 1,720$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.63 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked No | 54c | 1,702$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked No | 27c | 1,690$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…ccd9backed No | 51c | 1,621$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 67c | 1,610$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.44 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 1c | 1,606$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 30c | 1,597$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 79c | 1,546$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.85 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.5 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…6dbdbacked No | 10c | 1,499$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 72c | 1,491$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.54 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…d774backed No | 1c | 1,442$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 69c | 1,432$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 66c | 1,345$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.46 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed Yes | 56c | 1,326$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0578…e1fbbacked No | 1c | 1,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 69c | 1,233$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.31 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed No | 27c | 1,222$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 36c | 1,210$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.49 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6798…76a2backed No | 1c | 1,198$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 28c | 1,130$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked No | 18c | 1,126$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 50c | 1,111$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.6 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 64c | 1,055$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.81 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed No | 28c | 992$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 67c | 973.4$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.68 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 70c | 946.36$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.49 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed No | 33c | 938.19$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 911.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…4246backed No | 48c | 900$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…67c6backed No | 50c | 861.99$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 18c | 829.64$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 40c | 783.13$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.86 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 76c | 754.03$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…dd7ebacked No | 2c | 750.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 57c | 739.5$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.93 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 56c | 717.73$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.02 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 73c | 711.26$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 41c | 700$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb5…f15abacked No | 24c | 654.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 22c | 652.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 39c | 642.18$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked Yes | 51c | 630.72$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…5e39backed No | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed No | 3c | 592.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 39c | 536.68$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…c095backed Yes | 47c | 530.13$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 77c | 529.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4614…1c63backed No | 38c | 513.6$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 79c | 484.18$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4a1bbacked No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6384backed No | 14c | 466.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…a414backed Yes | 65c | 437.49$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…e654backed Yes | 45c | 433.44$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 68c | 425.6$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…6ee3backed No | 48c | 421.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 65c | 419.73$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.87 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…5862backed Yes | 73c | 411.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 56c | 371.61$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 41c | 362.23$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 45c | 360.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.39 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…ad7fbacked Yes | 78c | 348.46$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 344.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 37c | 332.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 49c | 329.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd6…3710backed No | 13c | 327.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed No | 4c | 322.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.