TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes0c5,936$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.624315.2%37 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7365…64dabacked No45c2,643$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.9127536.4%100 W · 175 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3594…dc58backed No49c2,055$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.666338.1%24 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc83…bcd2backed Yes55c2,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd590…5eeebacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.991811.1%2 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-82.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbaf…f3c9backed Yes2c1,594$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes6c1,574$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7419818.7%37 W · 161 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6748…151bbacked Yes52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…d588backed Yes18c1,106$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200140%0 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbe…15c7backed Yes1c757.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed Yes48c712.39$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.21315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes4c636.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.65230%0 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes19c601.56$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53fb…e92abacked Yes13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e7…f3c4backed Yes19c509.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No50c498.49$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.252965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9daa…f9a3backed Yes6c470.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c413.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8614421.5%31 W · 113 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56c…a440backed Yes53c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21060%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x09e6…24a1backed No48c400$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5910933.9%37 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e71…f97bbacked Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3f…b4b8backed Yes26c365.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed No67c354.29$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.912729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1695…2842backed Yes52c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821675%12 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x716c…f855backed Yes57c348.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…8f19backed Yes3c342.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes9c310$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273042%6 W · 298 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b82…2291backed Yes32c309.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x279c…2b82backed Yes52c277.35$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.882814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes9c269.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.254157.2%30 W · 385 L-26.1wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes9c266.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.022792.5%7 W · 272 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcca3…b55cbacked Yes11c241.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3024…b996backed Yes7c214.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes15c207.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811636.2%42 W · 74 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad6…5e1cbacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7836945.3%167 W · 202 L+29.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3387…c3f7backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4a1…1990backed Yes33c179.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes20c172.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3222019.5%43 W · 177 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f76…b5a1backed Yes20c154.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes19c133.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0119120.9%40 W · 151 L-20.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-57.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Yes31c130.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No43c130.04$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1220731.9%66 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a9…7311backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c47…37e8backed Yes14c113.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.972737%10 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…013ebacked Yes39c108.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.331942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bf…3884backed No47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc60e…33d0backed No51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc2…3eb6backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3543…c63fbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-84%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xffd8…1a4dbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302512%3 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c9…2ef8backed Yes13c99.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-77.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b1…9440backed Yes26c95.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d2…f954backed Yes54c94.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.648853.4%47 W · 41 L+13.9wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+27.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0124…f62ebacked No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed No51c89.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe2…b686backed No65c86.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.341163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x668e…4fcbbacked No56c82.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789a…1ddabacked No53c74.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.252850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9886…ededbacked Yes22c74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe338…64adbacked No47c66.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.192650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dec…cefabacked No55c65.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.343560%21 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf565…8bffbacked Yes50c60.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19db…7636backed No46c59.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.392356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8673…4025backed No65c57.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.017135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed No80c55.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+199.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1821…d2eabacked Yes56c53.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6a…c64ebacked Yes65c49.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae28…8883backed No51c48.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2712…eb71backed No45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.453727%10 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb1…ea72backed Yes57c44.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d5…6f93backed Yes49c42.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.486016.7%10 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-67%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8146…56d0backed No48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+163.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf031…2d12backed No49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No74c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5114281%115 W · 27 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4614…1c98backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.861216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ae…217abacked Yes29c39.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7b8…d8cebacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8e…aacbbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae70…1c40backed Yes54c29.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d0…d7a1backed No47c25.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.381764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7d…c2c6backed No49c23.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.231478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d81…fe57backed No50c20.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.584158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54d8…7ba2backed Yes55c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.