AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aee5eb0c1a25cbbed39a0f7312188af40ea636e0a9bd0cfffedc703b838fa40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…0b14backed No | 14c | 10,675$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed Yes | 77c | 5,470$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.97 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 5,315$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 2c | 5,255$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 14c | 3,988$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.27 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…d217backed No | 0c | 3,978$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed No | 32c | 3,136$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed No | 10c | 2,750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 67c | 2,588$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.81 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 3c | 2,514$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…8ea8backed No | 49c | 2,264$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed Yes | 76c | 1,885$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed No | 27c | 1,800$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 1,528$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,417$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…f88abacked Yes | 58c | 1,209$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 19c | 1,096$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…6868backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 25c | 986.89$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.69 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 18c | 970.39$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed No | 4c | 969.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 8c | 943.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 75c | 876.45$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…72bcbacked No | 5c | 861.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…c57fbacked No | 8c | 728.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 19c | 714.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 13c | 648.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 630.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…0a8cbacked Yes | 74c | 630$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 618.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…6938backed No | 16c | 535.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 505.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…d7dbbacked No | 24c | 500$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 45c | 475$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 3c | 460.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 23c | 460$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 16c | 444.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 5c | 434.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4a1bbacked No | 14c | 418.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…6ee3backed No | 25c | 382.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 22c | 375.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 15c | 358.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 7c | 358$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 3c | 314.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 18c | 311$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 55c | 310$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…548ebacked No | 11c | 307.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 77c | 297.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 12c | 288$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…35fdbacked No | 29c | 278$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 6c | 260.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 8c | 238.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 71c | 229.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 6c | 208$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…deb0backed No | 23c | 201.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…082abacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 15c | 188.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed No | 28c | 178.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 8c | 178.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…36cabacked No | 11c | 167.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed No | 11c | 167.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…9fc8backed No | 21c | 162.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 44c | 160.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…4f9bbacked No | 27c | 160.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed No | 13c | 153.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 20c | 142.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…dd39backed Yes | 79c | 142.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…744bbacked Yes | 73c | 137.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…9ec9backed No | 7c | 135.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 66c | 126.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 62c | 123.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 78c | 110.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 110.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 20c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…99a1backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e418backed Yes | 71c | 93.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 12c | 84.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 26c | 83.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…37e8backed No | 19c | 78.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…a390backed Yes | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e05…6554backed No | 14c | 73.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 17c | 70.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked No | 20c | 69.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…d53cbacked No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…837ebacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Yes | 76c | 61.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…ece4backed Yes | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 74c | 54.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…947cbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…444dbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 21c | 49.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 76c | 48.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…d4f8backed Yes | 76c | 46.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 78c | 44.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.