AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45eee5d7a79040e420462e96c7a9a1ae542170a98c3407d241ecf52938ffd604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb76a…61babacked Yes | 7c | 4,312$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed No | 79c | 3,526$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 7c | 2,774$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…795ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,439$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 72c | 1,696$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.75 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…7184backed Yes | 12c | 1,688$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…2f29backed No | 62c | 1,602$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 1,515$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,484$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…dee0backed Yes | 4c | 1,397$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…78bdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,287$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,199$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,151$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 9c | 1,147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…0839backed Yes | 9c | 1,081$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed Yes | 34c | 1,027$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.61 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Yes | 5c | 999.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 936.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…31dabacked Yes | 5c | 935.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…6f93backed Yes | 4c | 887.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…47c2backed Yes | 9c | 861.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 5c | 778.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e06…9025backed Yes | 5c | 760$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 755.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 10c | 689.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed Yes | 4c | 662.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed No | 68c | 638.35$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 627.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…8597backed Yes | 33c | 598.95$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…c8e2backed Yes | 31c | 557.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…82b8backed Yes | 45c | 556.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c9…2ef8backed Yes | 5c | 524$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 523.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 32c | 476.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…a9a5backed Yes | 6c | 460.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed Yes | 17c | 450$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 446.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 73c | 413.76$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed Yes | 13c | 411.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…5466backed Yes | 11c | 385.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…5b25backed Yes | 35c | 382.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…ba87backed Yes | 3c | 355.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…37a7backed Yes | 31c | 337.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…ffddbacked No | 75c | 332.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…5143backed Yes | 38c | 263.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…045dbacked Yes | 19c | 259.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 11c | 236.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 7c | 213.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…bd10backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…5472backed Yes | 8c | 188.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…bf71backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 8c | 185$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 23c | 175.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…fd5cbacked No | 67c | 175.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63b…e23dbacked Yes | 17c | 174.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked No | 41c | 154.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 15c | 153.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 11c | 151$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…3230backed No | 69c | 148.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…79a8backed Yes | 14c | 143.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…5a17backed Yes | 10c | 111.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7824…e5cdbacked No | 57c | 109.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…2ab7backed Yes | 10c | 106.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…6eabbacked Yes | 33c | 103.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Yes | 17c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfc…665cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 96.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 24c | 86.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 21c | 81.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6a…db02backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 24c | 62.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…d2eabacked No | 69c | 57.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…dff7backed Yes | 46c | 41.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…351fbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 142 | 81%115 W · 27 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…e8a4backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…dc1bbacked No | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…b686backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…3747backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…6270backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…322abacked No | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…f056backed No | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…0815backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb024…f7f9backed No | 68c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd57…802bbacked No | 72c | 15.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…99d3backed No | 77c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.