Fifa International · resolved market
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ef0b2171db8af0e3a898f1e85510b09119b06f39487ba0ee2eba76ab217dae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ea2…d1c1backed Yes | 1c | 1,214$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 56c | 924.6$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.23 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 41c | 636.07$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.55 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 404.09$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 42c | 314$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 35c | 242.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 42c | 205.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 61c | 197.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 40c | 187$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 179$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 165.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 16c | 145$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 123$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 29c | 114$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 78c | 106.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 88.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 45c | 86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 73c | 86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 49c | 83.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 55c | 76.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 46c | 72.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 49c | 68.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 60c | 60.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +54%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…19a3backed No | 47c | 56.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…8eaabacked No | 41c | 56.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 22c | 55.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 39c | 52.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…29a8backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 44c | 40.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 47c | 37.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 54c | 32.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 58c | 32.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 51c | 24.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…e987backed Yes | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 51c | 22.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 46c | 22.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed Yes | 54c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Scotland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.