TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b2…a017backed No5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No12c4,599$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.6363255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes35c2,945$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.43063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+69.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes76c2,648$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.4320142.8%86 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb32…db85backed Yes80c2,608$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No68c2,192$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.6217828.1%50 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes74c2,100$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.091566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No2c1,814$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.572021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No7c1,559$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7565651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No29c1,410$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf9…b521backed Yes54c1,361$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No2c1,300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.976098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No2c1,066$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8846047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2306155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked No24c999.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405062%31 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No46c984.85$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.9587837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes51c806.93$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.62040%8 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No45c773.09$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0143835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No29c772.31$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7258926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No70c751.05$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.7435033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No7c650.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1223750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No19c648.84$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6121239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes32c524.85$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.4334554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No25c473.48$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.381,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No67c470$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5920652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2970…f132backed Yes25c461.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+78.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed No10c434.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.536753.7%36 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No4c415.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9648438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes64c358.87$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No77c355.91$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.067950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes53c348.02$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5719345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No48c323.72$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0818139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No36c318.12$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6330241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7753…30b8backed Yes35c315.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+184.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No74c314$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.117558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes76c302.83$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc0…fb20backed No4c282.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes25c255$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1517217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf4…1150backed No9c251.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes23c250$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1934942.9%21 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes23c248$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9626037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No13c244.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2292038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes74c243.65$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.762,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes18c234.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6925638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No37c230.14$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1242640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes28c225$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6522243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No26c220.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.764030%12 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No70c220$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.75957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No6c202$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4617632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed Yes74c199.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525356.6%30 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No68c195.01$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3167354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes21c185.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.556940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes23c180$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.66541.5%27 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No71c175$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5432044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes33c172.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.213957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No21c166.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1848636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No26c165.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.988041.3%33 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes27c165.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.498440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2119…1e8fbacked No78c161.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes73c160.32$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8916646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No76c156.39$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4342737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes26c154.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.18936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked No14c151$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7511611.2%13 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No19c148.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9221958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No25c142.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0320250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No53c135.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3315455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.586729.9%20 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…3fa6backed Yes77c130.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.516333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.519445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201e…d516backed No78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No23c125$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7511636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No33c120.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.532,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8295…8c67backed Yes79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No21c90.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.452,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No12c89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4728256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No19c88.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x610a…c83bbacked Yes79c88.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612065%13 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No38c86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff92…5973backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011238.4%43 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No73c73.77$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8534151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb842…330ebacked Yes25c72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546346%29 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No66c71.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3916540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed Yes76c70.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.951145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes28c66.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6911241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed No28c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24374.4%32 W · 11 L+10.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No64c64.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.269455.3%52 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.128554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a8…ed23backed Yes73c58.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No66c58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2814436.1%52 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes23c55.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.998240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No68c51.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9445736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes25c50.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7618460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3815942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3823245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2434…05eabacked No27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.