Fifa International · resolved market
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa6f3a369195b48b608f8bd644bbe1b70dbef00d6aecb94ae2c4b0b710226d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b2…a017backed No | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 12c | 4,599$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.63 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,945$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,648$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.43 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 80c | 2,608$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 68c | 2,192$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.62 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,100$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,814$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 7c | 1,559$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 29c | 1,410$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.1 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…b521backed Yes | 54c | 1,361$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 1,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 2c | 1,066$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 46c | 984.85$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.95 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes | 51c | 806.93$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 45c | 773.09$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.01 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 29c | 772.31$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 70c | 751.05$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.74 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 7c | 650.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 19c | 648.84$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 32c | 524.85$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.43 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 25c | 473.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 67c | 470$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.59 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…f132backed Yes | 25c | 461.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed No | 10c | 434.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 4c | 415.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 358.87$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 77c | 355.91$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.06 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 53c | 348.02$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 48c | 323.72$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 36c | 318.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…30b8backed Yes | 35c | 315.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 314$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 76c | 302.83$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…fb20backed No | 4c | 282.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 25c | 255$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…1150backed No | 9c | 251.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 23c | 250$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 23c | 248$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 13c | 244.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 74c | 243.65$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 18c | 234.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.69 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 37c | 230.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 28c | 225$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 26c | 220.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 70c | 220$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 202$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…17b9backed Yes | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 68c | 195.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 21c | 185.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked Yes | 23c | 180$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 71c | 175$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 33c | 172.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 21c | 166.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 26c | 165.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 27c | 165.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…1e8fbacked No | 78c | 161.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 73c | 160.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 76c | 156.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 26c | 154.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked No | 14c | 151$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 19c | 148.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 25c | 142.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 53c | 135.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…3fa6backed Yes | 77c | 130.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…d516backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 120.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…8c67backed Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 21c | 90.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 12c | 89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 88.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…c83bbacked Yes | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…5973backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 73c | 73.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…330ebacked Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 66c | 71.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed Yes | 76c | 70.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 28c | 66.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed No | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +10.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 64c | 64.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…ed23backed Yes | 73c | 58.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 66c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 23c | 55.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 68c | 51.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 25c | 50.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?this page
- Will Scotland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.